Wartime Snapshot: How Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Iran Conflict

3 March 2026
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Prediction markets tracking the escalating Middle East conflict between the United States, Israel and Iran are humming with activity on Tuesday, as traders funnel more than $230 million into bets tied to regime change, military escalation, and diplomatic outcomes. Polymarket Traders Price 42% Chance of Iranian Regime Collapse by June 30 On Polymarket, the headline-grabbing […]